Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 11:32 AM to 12:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 11:32 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -38.7853. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-38.28-20.77-3.272Sep 23, 11:32 AM ET12:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:32 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-38.28-20.77-3.272Sep 23, 11:32 AM ET12:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:32 AM ET-38.7853
Projected value at 12:01 PM ET-0.921521
Actual value at 12:01 PM ET-3.5
Projected change across the window+37.8638
Actual change across the window+35.2853
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.07×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.07 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (11:47 AM ET), where they sat 0.107626 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (11:37 AM ET) with a gap of 23.6589. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (11:42 AM ET), a move of +6.57941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:33 AM-21.7767-39.0088-17.2321
611:38 AM-16.1865-39.4478-23.2613
1211:44 AM-10.7816-9.56838+1.21322
1811:50 AM-6.8844-13.6316-6.74722
2411:56 AM-5.22075-17.2654-12.0447
2912:01 PM-0.921521-3.5-2.57848

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.