Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 11:30 AM to 11:59 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -39.0088. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:59 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-38.22-20.31-2.395Sep 23, 11:30 AM ET11:59 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:30 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-38.22-20.31-2.395Sep 23, 11:30 AM ET11:59 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:30 AM ET-39.0088
Projected value at 11:59 AM ET-1.19155
Actual value at 11:59 AM ET0.0110294
Projected change across the window+37.8173
Actual change across the window+39.0199
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (11:44 AM ET), where they sat 0.727959 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:30 AM ET) with a gap of 30.9039. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (11:39 AM ET), a move of +6.57941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:31 AM-14.2263-39.4331-25.2068
611:36 AM-18.0799-35.9618-17.8819
1211:42 AM-13.5386-8.00294+5.53566
1811:48 AM-8.81314-15.1809-6.36774
2411:54 AM-7.32794-16.1331-8.80515
2911:59 AM-1.191550.0110294+1.20258

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.