Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 23, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 23, 2026, 10:34 AM to 11:03 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 23, 2026 at 10:34 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 3.57721. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:03 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-31.28-8.62614.03Sep 23, 10:34 AM ET11:03 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:34 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-31.28-8.62614.03Sep 23, 10:34 AM ET11:03 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:34 AM ET3.57721
Projected value at 11:03 AM ET5.01141
Actual value at 11:03 AM ET1.54706
Projected change across the window+1.4342
Actual change across the window-2.03015
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.71×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.71 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (10:47 AM ET), where they sat 0.0299664 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:34 AM ET) with a gap of 37.902. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (10:45 AM ET), a move of +3.29706. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:35 AM-25.87684.9375+30.8143
610:40 AM1.877352.01029+0.13294
1210:46 AM12.670411.9801-0.690275
1810:52 AM14.55113.3632-1.18778
2410:58 AM9.929786.98824-2.94155
2911:03 AM5.011411.54706-3.46435

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.