Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 8:40 PM to 9:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 26.3963. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.103814.428.69Sep 22, 8:40 PM ET9:09 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:40 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.103814.428.69Sep 22, 8:40 PM ET9:09 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:40 PM ET26.3963
Projected value at 9:09 PM ET0.0478995
Actual value at 9:09 PM ET12.2081
Projected change across the window-26.3484
Actual change across the window-14.1882
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (8:56 PM ET), where they sat 10.0117 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (8:42 PM ET) with a gap of 30.1634. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (8:58 PM ET), a move of +3.00882. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:41 PM-1.1111928.3059+29.4171
68:46 PM0.63011725.8331+25.203
128:52 PM0.44495619.261+18.8161
188:58 PM0.38869715.2904+14.9017
249:04 PM0.11782815.5478+15.43
299:09 PM0.047899512.2081+12.1602

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.