Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 7:02 PM to 7:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 7:02 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 13.2404. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.2111.5428.28Sep 22, 7:02 PM ET7:31 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.2111.5428.28Sep 22, 7:02 PM ET7:31 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:02 PM ET13.2404
Projected value at 7:31 PM ET1.19838
Actual value at 7:31 PM ET-1.65368
Projected change across the window-12.0421
Actual change across the window-14.8941
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (7:15 PM ET), where they sat 0.22064 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (7:08 PM ET) with a gap of 27.104. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (7:12 PM ET), a move of -6.41618. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:03 PM0.60701415.9074+15.3003
67:08 PM3.3702230.4743+27.104
127:14 PM3.636273.34853-0.287741
187:20 PM4.258791.06618-3.19261
247:26 PM1.28079-6.12721-7.40799
297:31 PM1.19838-1.65368-2.85205

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.