Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 6:48 PM to 7:17 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 6:48 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 6.11765. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:17 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.216-0.63445.948Sep 22, 6:48 PM ET7:17 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:48 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.216-0.63445.948Sep 22, 6:48 PM ET7:17 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:48 PM ET6.11765
Projected value at 7:17 PM ET-0.84065
Actual value at 7:17 PM ET-0.169118
Projected change across the window-6.9583
Actual change across the window-6.28676
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (6:56 PM ET), where they sat 0.00900112 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (7:05 PM ET) with a gap of 11.9526. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (6:52 PM ET), a move of -4.05882. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:49 PM-5.060215.3375+10.3977
66:54 PM-7.92754-6.36471+1.56284
127:00 PM-6.30957-5.32868+0.980894
187:06 PM-4.609056.5375+11.1466
247:12 PM-2.64109-6.66029-4.01921
297:17 PM-0.84065-0.169118+0.671532

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.