Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 6:46 PM to 7:15 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 6:46 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.3375. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:15 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.613-0.31365.986Sep 22, 6:46 PM ET7:15 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:46 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.613-0.31365.986Sep 22, 6:46 PM ET7:15 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:46 PM ET5.3375
Projected value at 7:15 PM ET-0.669814
Actual value at 7:15 PM ET0.833824
Projected change across the window-6.00731
Actual change across the window-4.50368
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.33×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.33 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (6:59 PM ET), where they sat 0.28889 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (7:02 PM ET) with a gap of 8.65089. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (6:49 PM ET), a move of -4.05882. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:47 PM1.010074.12059+3.11052
66:52 PM-1.70524-7.45882-5.75358
126:58 PM-2.10331-3.93456-1.83125
187:04 PM-1.69094.34485+6.03575
247:10 PM-1.1627-5.89191-4.72921
297:15 PM-0.6698140.833824+1.50364

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.