Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 1:47 PM to 2:16 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 1:47 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 81.3551. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:16 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.20545.0287.84Sep 22, 1:47 PM ET2:16 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.20545.0287.84Sep 22, 1:47 PM ET2:16 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:47 PM ET81.3551
Projected value at 2:16 PM ET-0.513062
Actual value at 2:16 PM ET2.6625
Projected change across the window-81.8682
Actual change across the window-78.6926
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.04×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.04 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (2:15 PM ET), where they sat 0.451927 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (1:50 PM ET) with a gap of 86.3976. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (2:02 PM ET), a move of -15.2515. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:48 PM7.3278487.4419+80.1141
61:53 PM6.1051790.2206+84.1154
121:59 PM4.1437673.6213+69.4776
182:05 PM4.293795.13603+0.842241
242:11 PM1.76891-2.85294-4.62185
292:16 PM-0.5130622.6625+3.17556

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.