Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 1:31 PM to 2:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 1:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 29.6184. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.85411.327.45Sep 22, 1:31 PM ET2:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.85411.327.45Sep 22, 1:31 PM ET2:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:31 PM ET29.6184
Projected value at 2:00 PM ET-0.894096
Actual value at 2:00 PM ET-7.02353
Projected change across the window-30.5125
Actual change across the window-36.6419
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (1:48 PM ET), where they sat 0.00966686 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:31 PM ET) with a gap of 21.8907. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:32 PM ET), a move of -12.5949. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:32 PM7.7296317.0235+9.2939
61:37 PM4.295243.99853-0.296715
121:43 PM3.91156-1.53897-5.45053
181:49 PM2.54182.25515-0.286649
241:55 PM0.6594273.23824+2.57881
292:00 PM-0.894096-7.02353-6.12943

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.