Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 12:04 PM to 12:33 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 12:04 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -7.10588. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:33 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10-2.1865.631Sep 22, 12:04 PM ET12:33 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:04 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10-2.1865.631Sep 22, 12:04 PM ET12:33 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:04 PM ET-7.10588
Projected value at 12:33 PM ET-1.05196
Actual value at 12:33 PM ET-3.62132
Projected change across the window+6.05392
Actual change across the window+3.48456
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.74 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (12:31 PM ET), where they sat 0.236975 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (12:08 PM ET) with a gap of 11.6859. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (12:30 PM ET), a move of -2.71324. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:05 PM-2.89445-9.38088-6.48643
612:10 PM2.91158-8.43382-11.3454
1212:16 PM1.33944-3.98897-5.32841
1812:22 PM1.134874.22574+3.09087
2412:28 PM0.8346993.91324+3.07854
2912:33 PM-1.05196-3.62132-2.56936

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.