Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 11:12 AM to 11:41 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -29.1618. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:41 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-26.4-5.83614.73Sep 22, 11:12 AM ET11:41 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:12 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-26.4-5.83614.73Sep 22, 11:12 AM ET11:41 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:12 AM ET-29.1618
Projected value at 11:41 AM ET-0.205509
Actual value at 11:41 AM ET5.62647
Projected change across the window+28.9563
Actual change across the window+34.7882
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (11:22 AM ET), where they sat 0.612721 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:12 AM ET) with a gap of 25.141. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (11:16 AM ET), a move of +4.75074. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:13 AM-3.02958-25.1272-22.0976
611:18 AM-3.72607-12.139-8.4129
1211:24 AM-3.376143.17721+6.55334
1811:30 AM-1.2420814.5875+15.8296
2411:36 AM-0.4741099.13897+9.61308
2911:41 AM-0.2055095.62647+5.83198

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.