Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 10:43 AM to 11:12 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 10:43 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 2.12941. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:12 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-43.1-17.049.01Sep 22, 10:43 AM ET11:12 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:43 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-43.1-17.049.01Sep 22, 10:43 AM ET11:12 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:43 AM ET2.12941
Projected value at 11:12 AM ET-7.01569
Actual value at 11:12 AM ET12.5088
Projected change across the window-9.1451
Actual change across the window+10.3794
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (11:01 AM ET), where they sat 7.19629 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (10:45 AM ET) with a gap of 40.6087. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (11:12 AM ET), a move of +4.33162. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:44 AM-38.4556-1.53971+36.9159
610:49 AM-41.315-12.7919+28.5231
1210:55 AM-33.4199-13.3147+20.1052
1811:01 AM-25.9-18.7037+7.19629
2411:07 AM-13.8512-0.844853+13.0064
2911:12 AM-7.0156912.5088+19.5245

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.