Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 10:00 AM to 10:29 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 35.786. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:29 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.0460116.7933.54Sep 22, 10:00 AM ET10:29 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:00 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.0460116.7933.54Sep 22, 10:00 AM ET10:29 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:00 AM ET35.786
Projected value at 10:29 AM ET0.70242
Actual value at 10:29 AM ET0.558824
Projected change across the window-35.0836
Actual change across the window-35.2272
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (10:22 AM ET), where they sat 0.0534265 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (10:05 AM ET) with a gap of 12.3556. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (10:09 AM ET), a move of -5.3625. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:01 AM33.181533.9287+0.747145
610:06 AM18.483629.6809+11.1972
1210:12 AM8.9614113.1154+4.15403
1810:18 AM3.6894-0.0286765-3.71808
2410:24 AM-0.4402395.04412+5.48436
2910:29 AM0.702420.558824-0.143596

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.