Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:55 AM to 10:24 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 9:55 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 35.0882. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:24 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.926132.7766.47Sep 22, 9:55 AM ET10:24 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.926132.7766.47Sep 22, 9:55 AM ET10:24 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:55 AM ET35.0882
Projected value at 10:24 AM ET-0.347092
Actual value at 10:24 AM ET-5.45147
Projected change across the window-35.4353
Actual change across the window-40.5397
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (10:16 AM ET), where they sat 0.0698284 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:55 AM ET) with a gap of 35.9029. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (10:00 AM ET), a move of -5.3625. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:56 AM67.383732.8478-34.5359
610:01 AM46.164812.8324-33.3325
1210:07 AM22.79355.87574-16.9178
1810:13 AM11.49650.440441-11.0561
2410:19 AM4.65753.83897-0.81853
2910:24 AM-0.347092-5.45147-5.10438

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.