Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:53 AM to 10:22 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 9:53 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 29.6809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:22 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.41633.0267.46Sep 22, 9:53 AM ET10:22 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:53 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.41633.0267.46Sep 22, 9:53 AM ET10:22 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:53 AM ET29.6809
Projected value at 10:22 AM ET-0.418146
Actual value at 10:22 AM ET-5.18676
Projected change across the window-30.099
Actual change across the window-34.8676
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (10:13 AM ET), where they sat 0.0835416 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (9:56 AM ET) with a gap of 47.8323. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (9:56 AM ET), a move of -5.3625. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:54 AM71.23425.1184-46.1156
69:59 AM48.833513.1154-35.7181
1210:05 AM21.9755-0.0286765-22.0042
1810:11 AM9.758625.04412-4.7145
2410:17 AM3.85355-2.59632-6.44988
2910:22 AM-0.418146-5.18676-4.76862

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.