Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 9:50 AM to 10:19 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 9:50 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 12.8324. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:19 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.68230.7763.23Sep 22, 9:50 AM ET10:19 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:50 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.68230.7763.23Sep 22, 9:50 AM ET10:19 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:50 AM ET12.8324
Projected value at 10:19 AM ET-0.145327
Actual value at 10:19 AM ET-2.94412
Projected change across the window-12.9777
Actual change across the window-15.7765
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (10:08 AM ET), where they sat 0.330603 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:50 AM ET) with a gap of 54.7568. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (9:57 AM ET), a move of -3.34779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:51 AM63.851712.8412-51.0105
69:56 AM43.01285.87574-37.1371
1210:02 AM18.87550.440441-18.4351
1810:08 AM3.508373.83897+0.330603
2410:14 AM-1.08297-6.04044-4.95748
2910:19 AM-0.145327-2.94412-2.79879

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.