Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 8:46 AM to 9:15 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 8:46 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 38.3368. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:15 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-36.33-1.34633.64Sep 22, 8:46 AM ET9:15 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:46 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-36.33-1.34633.64Sep 22, 8:46 AM ET9:15 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:46 AM ET38.3368
Projected value at 9:15 AM ET-0.103916
Actual value at 9:15 AM ET-27.0485
Projected change across the window-38.4407
Actual change across the window-65.3853
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (8:54 AM ET), where they sat 3.41486 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (8:47 AM ET) with a gap of 39.2922. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (8:54 AM ET), a move of -9.77059. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:47 AM-2.862836.4294+39.2922
68:52 AM-6.188917.31029+13.4992
128:58 AM-5.72947-37.6184-31.8889
189:04 AM-4.23668-32.1838-27.9471
249:10 AM-1.15206-31.5081-30.356
299:15 AM-0.103916-27.0485-26.9446

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.