Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 8:20 AM to 8:49 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 8:20 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -31.836. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:49 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29.67-13.52.658Sep 22, 8:20 AM ET8:49 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:20 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29.67-13.52.658Sep 22, 8:20 AM ET8:49 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:20 AM ET-31.836
Projected value at 8:49 AM ET-0.547119
Actual value at 8:49 AM ET-2.92426
Projected change across the window+31.2889
Actual change across the window+28.9118
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.08×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.08 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (8:47 AM ET), where they sat 0.243983 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (8:32 AM ET) with a gap of 21.6939. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (8:37 AM ET), a move of +6.27868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:21 AM-15.747-31.0044-15.2574
68:26 AM-10.7194-24.2706-13.5512
128:32 AM-6.64875-28.3426-21.6939
188:38 AM-2.55852-5.97132-3.4128
248:44 AM-0.6595744.31397+4.97354
298:49 AM-0.547119-2.92426-2.37715

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.