Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 8:14 AM to 8:43 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 8:14 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -24.2706. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:43 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-26.38-11.762.865Sep 22, 8:14 AM ET8:43 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:14 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-26.38-11.762.865Sep 22, 8:14 AM ET8:43 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:14 AM ET-24.2706
Projected value at 8:43 AM ET-0.500464
Actual value at 8:43 AM ET1.67647
Projected change across the window+23.7701
Actual change across the window+25.9471
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (8:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.10872 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (8:20 AM ET) with a gap of 19.0566. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (8:25 AM ET), a move of +6.27868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:15 AM-14.5956-26.5963-12.0007
68:20 AM-9.28605-28.3426-19.0566
128:26 AM-5.8626-5.97132-0.10872
188:32 AM-3.230584.31397+7.54456
248:38 AM-1.10252-0.975+0.127519
298:43 AM-0.5004641.67647+2.17694

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.