Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 8:13 AM to 8:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 8:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -26.5963. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-26.38-11.762.865Sep 22, 8:13 AM ET8:42 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-26.38-11.762.865Sep 22, 8:13 AM ET8:42 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:13 AM ET-26.5963
Projected value at 8:42 AM ET0.117699
Actual value at 8:42 AM ET0.567647
Projected change across the window+26.714
Actual change across the window+27.164
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (8:24 AM ET), where they sat 0.025742 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (8:18 AM ET) with a gap of 17.6064. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (8:23 AM ET), a move of +6.27868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:14 AM-16.2311-26.2066-9.97552
68:19 AM-9.83235-27.3912-17.5588
128:25 AM-5.53637-3.63382+1.90255
188:31 AM-3.688462.30221+5.99067
248:37 AM0.03288170.304412+0.27153
298:42 AM0.1176990.567647+0.449948

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.