Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 8:05 AM to 8:34 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 8:05 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -23.4529. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:34 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.78-9.3123.154Sep 22, 8:05 AM ET8:34 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:05 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.78-9.3123.154Sep 22, 8:05 AM ET8:34 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:05 AM ET-23.4529
Projected value at 8:34 AM ET0.226836
Actual value at 8:34 AM ET-7.85809
Projected change across the window+23.6798
Actual change across the window+15.5949
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.52×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.52 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (8:26 AM ET), where they sat 0.444641 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:05 AM ET) with a gap of 18.4001. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (8:08 AM ET), a move of +6.27868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:06 AM-2.46517-20.2919-17.8267
68:11 AM-0.477650.0602941+0.537945
128:17 AM1.654870.536029-1.11884
188:23 AM1.781231.20074-0.580491
248:29 AM1.73123-0.980147-2.71138
298:34 AM0.226836-7.85809-8.08492

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.