Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 7:55 AM to 8:24 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 7:55 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 2.30221. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:24 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.32-4.4722.373Sep 22, 7:55 AM ET8:24 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.32-4.4722.373Sep 22, 7:55 AM ET8:24 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:55 AM ET2.30221
Projected value at 8:24 AM ET-1.33488
Actual value at 8:24 AM ET-3.00662
Projected change across the window-3.63708
Actual change across the window-5.30882
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.69 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (8:13 AM ET), where they sat 0.419456 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (8:04 AM ET) with a gap of 14.0845. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (7:58 AM ET), a move of -2.05882. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:56 AM-10.96750.536029+11.5035
68:01 AM-11.3150.304412+11.6194
128:07 AM-9.81521-0.567647+9.24756
188:13 AM-7.43863-7.85809-0.419456
248:19 AM-2.97359-6.02941-3.05582
298:24 AM-1.33488-3.00662-1.67174

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.