Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 6:25 AM to 6:54 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 6:25 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -21.5522. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:54 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.32-5.78912.74Sep 22, 6:25 AM ET6:54 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:25 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.32-5.78912.74Sep 22, 6:25 AM ET6:54 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:25 AM ET-21.5522
Projected value at 6:54 AM ET-0.960026
Actual value at 6:54 AM ET15.2294
Projected change across the window+20.5922
Actual change across the window+36.7816
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (6:47 AM ET), where they sat 1.08707 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (6:54 AM ET) with a gap of 16.1894. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (6:47 AM ET), a move of +4.65221. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:26 AM-18.8867-22.6625-3.77577
66:31 AM-18.4003-26.2728-7.87247
126:37 AM-13.6205-21.0478-7.42726
186:43 AM-7.67824-19.7676-12.0894
246:49 AM-3.701943.87941+7.58135
296:54 AM-0.96002615.2294+16.1894

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.