Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 5:52 AM to 6:21 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 5:52 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 27.825. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:21 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.367.80627.97Sep 22, 5:52 AM ET6:21 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:52 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.367.80627.97Sep 22, 5:52 AM ET6:21 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:52 AM ET27.825
Projected value at 6:21 AM ET-0.0900445
Actual value at 6:21 AM ET-12.5456
Projected change across the window-27.915
Actual change across the window-40.3706
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.69 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (6:01 AM ET), where they sat 0.15983 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (6:10 AM ET) with a gap of 22.9891. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (6:04 AM ET), a move of -4.84853. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:53 AM18.295729.9125+11.6168
65:58 AM17.665217.9088+0.243598
126:04 AM12.3165.58382-6.73215
186:10 AM7.91929-15.0699-22.9891
246:16 AM1.99127-13.9419-15.9332
296:21 AM-0.0900445-12.5456-12.4555

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.