Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 5:51 AM to 6:20 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 5:51 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 27.825. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:20 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.367.80627.97Sep 22, 5:51 AM ET6:20 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:51 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.367.80627.97Sep 22, 5:51 AM ET6:20 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:51 AM ET27.825
Projected value at 6:20 AM ET0.202444
Actual value at 6:20 AM ET-12.5456
Projected change across the window-27.6226
Actual change across the window-40.3706
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.68×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.68 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (6:02 AM ET), where they sat 1.78934 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (6:09 AM ET) with a gap of 20.6458. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (6:03 AM ET), a move of -4.84853. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:52 AM13.582229.9125+16.3303
65:57 AM11.737517.9088+6.17134
126:03 AM8.160595.58382-2.57677
186:09 AM5.57591-15.0699-20.6458
246:15 AM1.72394-13.9419-15.6658
296:20 AM0.202444-12.5456-12.748

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.