Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 5:47 AM to 6:16 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 5:47 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 21.5368. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:16 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.631.25219.14Sep 22, 5:47 AM ET6:16 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:47 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.631.25219.14Sep 22, 5:47 AM ET6:16 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:47 AM ET21.5368
Projected value at 6:16 AM ET-0.926405
Actual value at 6:16 AM ET-13.211
Projected change across the window-22.4632
Actual change across the window-34.7478
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.65×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.65 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (5:53 AM ET), where they sat 0.621767 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (6:00 AM ET) with a gap of 21.6081. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (5:54 AM ET), a move of -4.84853. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:48 AM12.229917.9088+5.67892
65:53 AM9.8105910.4324+0.621767
125:59 AM6.98475-12.8426-19.8274
186:05 AM4.35503-13.3485-17.7036
246:11 AM1.62911-12.5456-14.1747
296:16 AM-0.926405-13.211-12.2846

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.