Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 4:21 AM to 4:50 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 4:21 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -22.1103. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:50 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-30.19-15.93-1.673Sep 22, 4:21 AM ET4:50 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:21 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-30.19-15.93-1.673Sep 22, 4:21 AM ET4:50 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:21 AM ET-22.1103
Projected value at 4:50 AM ET0.241578
Actual value at 4:50 AM ET-6.22721
Projected change across the window+22.3519
Actual change across the window+15.8831
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.41×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.41 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (4:30 AM ET), where they sat 2.39844 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (4:26 AM ET) with a gap of 15.9735. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (4:29 AM ET), a move of -3.47721. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:22 AM-31.8844-21.2243+10.6601
64:27 AM-27.0295-11.6015+15.428
124:33 AM-15.3381-25.4066-10.0685
184:39 AM-8.28835-12.8662-4.57782
244:45 AM-3.27492-10.5463-7.2714
294:50 AM0.241578-6.22721-6.46878

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.