Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 4:14 AM to 4:43 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 4:14 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -11.5368. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:43 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-23.92-12.88-1.834Sep 22, 4:14 AM ET4:43 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:14 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-23.92-12.88-1.834Sep 22, 4:14 AM ET4:43 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:14 AM ET-11.5368
Projected value at 4:43 AM ET-1.42474
Actual value at 4:43 AM ET-6.41029
Projected change across the window+10.112
Actual change across the window+5.12647
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (4:24 AM ET), where they sat 0.0189419 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:14 AM ET) with a gap of 13.6303. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (4:15 AM ET), a move of -3.47721. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:15 AM-24.7486-15.014+9.73462
64:20 AM-19.2199-23.5772-4.35729
124:26 AM-12.7365-10.9301+1.80637
184:32 AM-4.93117-10.1787-5.2475
244:38 AM-0.49379-6.74779-6.254
294:43 AM-1.42474-6.41029-4.98555

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.