Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 4:11 AM to 4:40 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 4:11 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -21.4118. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:40 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.73-13.25-1.77Sep 22, 4:11 AM ET4:40 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:11 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.73-13.25-1.77Sep 22, 4:11 AM ET4:40 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:11 AM ET-21.4118
Projected value at 4:40 AM ET-1.02632
Actual value at 4:40 AM ET-2.25956
Projected change across the window+20.3854
Actual change across the window+19.1522
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (4:13 AM ET), where they sat 0.30188 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (4:36 AM ET) with a gap of 6.96631. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (4:12 AM ET), a move of -2.79412. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:12 AM-25.2934-24.2059+1.08755
64:17 AM-19.666-17.4037+2.26233
124:23 AM-13.2478-10.5449+2.70295
184:29 AM-6.33772-6.83456-0.496843
244:35 AM-1.06059-7.94412-6.88353
294:40 AM-1.02632-2.25956-1.23324

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.