Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 4:09 AM to 4:38 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 4:09 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -23.5772. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:38 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-25.46-11.692.078Sep 22, 4:09 AM ET4:38 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:09 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-25.46-11.692.078Sep 22, 4:09 AM ET4:38 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:09 AM ET-23.5772
Projected value at 4:38 AM ET-0.342208
Actual value at 4:38 AM ET3.92794
Projected change across the window+23.235
Actual change across the window+27.5051
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (4:29 AM ET), where they sat 0.470654 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (4:16 AM ET) with a gap of 11.8341. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (4:12 AM ET), a move of +2.57941. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:10 AM-26.2842-21.9926+4.29151
64:15 AM-22.0649-10.9301+11.1348
124:21 AM-15.2459-10.1787+5.06722
184:27 AM-9.91191-6.74779+3.16411
244:33 AM-2.26732-5.39265-3.12532
294:38 AM-0.3422083.92794+4.27015

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.