Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 4:06 AM to 4:35 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 4:06 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -17.4037. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:35 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.34-12.282.784Sep 22, 4:06 AM ET4:35 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:06 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.34-12.282.784Sep 22, 4:06 AM ET4:35 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:06 AM ET-17.4037
Projected value at 4:35 AM ET-1.30047
Actual value at 4:35 AM ET1.61544
Projected change across the window+16.1032
Actual change across the window+19.0191
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (4:35 AM ET), where they sat 2.91591 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (4:10 AM ET) with a gap of 17.8287. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (4:07 AM ET), a move of +2.42132. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:07 AM-27.6127-14.9824+12.6304
64:12 AM-25.0675-10.5449+14.5227
124:18 AM-18.5853-6.83456+11.7508
184:24 AM-12.4275-7.94412+4.48341
244:30 AM-6.433240.0316176+6.46486
294:35 AM-1.300471.61544+2.91591

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.