Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 3:59 AM to 4:28 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 3:59 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -10.9478. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:28 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.02-3.073.875Sep 22, 3:59 AM ET4:28 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:59 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.02-3.073.875Sep 22, 3:59 AM ET4:28 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:59 AM ET-10.9478
Projected value at 4:28 AM ET-1.57137
Actual value at 4:28 AM ET-1.52059
Projected change across the window+9.37642
Actual change across the window+9.42721
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.99×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.99 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (4:28 AM ET), where they sat 0.0507833 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:59 AM ET) with a gap of 13.3183. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (4:22 AM ET), a move of -2.65074. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:00 AM0.395242-10.5463-10.9416
64:05 AM-3.35136-6.22721-2.87584
124:11 AM-3.56908-7.47721-3.90813
184:17 AM-2.828622.14779+4.97642
244:23 AM-2.10668-2.79485-0.68817
294:28 AM-1.57137-1.52059+0.0507833

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.