Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 1:14 AM to 1:43 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 22, 2026 at 1:14 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -9.13015. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:43 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.9650.70859.382Sep 22, 1:14 AM ET1:43 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:14 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.9650.70859.382Sep 22, 1:14 AM ET1:43 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:14 AM ET-9.13015
Projected value at 1:43 AM ET0.54121
Actual value at 1:43 AM ET6.28015
Projected change across the window+9.67136
Actual change across the window+15.4103
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 2 (1:15 AM ET), where they sat 0.0199733 apart, and furthest at bar 27 (1:41 AM ET) with a gap of 10.0803. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (1:43 AM ET), a move of -3.38235. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:15 AM-7.54767-7.56765-0.0199733
61:20 AM-2.63952-2.18235+0.457164
121:26 AM-1.455612.85809+4.3137
181:32 AM-0.6475647.50809+8.15565
241:38 AM-0.4241169.65588+10.08
291:43 AM0.541216.28015+5.73894

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.