Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 22, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 22, 2026, 1:13 AM to 1:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 22, 2026 at 1:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read -7.56765. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.1380.61679.371Sep 22, 1:13 AM ET1:42 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.1380.61679.371Sep 22, 1:13 AM ET1:42 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:13 AM ET-7.56765
Projected value at 1:42 AM ET-0.241975
Actual value at 1:42 AM ET3.04559
Projected change across the window+7.32567
Actual change across the window+10.6132
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.69×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.69 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (1:21 AM ET), where they sat 0.178352 apart, and furthest at bar 26 (1:39 AM ET) with a gap of 11.3003. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (1:41 AM ET), a move of -3.38235. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:14 AM-9.1047-5.53162+3.57308
61:19 AM-5.04114-3.05147+1.98967
121:25 AM-2.914844.67353+7.58837
181:31 AM-1.847448.52426+10.3717
241:37 AM-0.9563449.98603+10.9424
291:42 AM-0.2419753.04559+3.28756

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.