Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 11:45 PM to 12:14 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 11:45 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 6.22426. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:14 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.5523.65212.86Sep 21, 11:45 PM ET12:14 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:45 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.5523.65212.86Sep 21, 11:45 PM ET12:14 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:45 PM ET6.22426
Projected value at 12:14 AM ET-0.636031
Actual value at 12:14 AM ET14.0912
Projected change across the window-6.8603
Actual change across the window+7.86691
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (11:59 PM ET), where they sat 6.43185 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (12:14 AM ET) with a gap of 14.7272. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (12:14 AM ET), a move of +1.89265. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:46 PM-5.988597.04706+13.0356
611:51 PM-5.824063.97353+9.79759
1211:57 PM-4.198374.45882+8.65719
1812:03 AM-3.123024.65809+7.78111
2412:09 AM-2.126347.51838+9.64472
2912:14 AM-0.63603114.0912+14.7272

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.