Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 11:44 PM to 12:13 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 21, 2026 at 11:44 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 7.51103. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:13 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.4674.16413.79Sep 21, 11:44 PM ET12:13 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:44 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.4674.16413.79Sep 21, 11:44 PM ET12:13 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:44 PM ET7.51103
Projected value at 12:13 AM ET-0.420204
Actual value at 12:13 AM ET14.8588
Projected change across the window-7.93123
Actual change across the window+7.34779
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.08×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.08 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (11:56 PM ET), where they sat 7.4094 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (12:12 AM ET) with a gap of 15.842. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (12:11 AM ET), a move of +1.89265. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:45 PM-5.333086.67941+12.0125
611:50 PM-5.937954.99338+10.9313
1211:56 PM-4.667492.74191+7.4094
1812:02 AM-3.234755.94191+9.17667
2412:08 AM-2.13829.15588+11.2941
2912:13 AM-0.42020414.8588+15.279

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.