Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 11:44 PM to 12:13 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 11:44 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.51103. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:13 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.4674.16413.79Sep 21, 11:44 PM ET12:13 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:44 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.4674.16413.79Sep 21, 11:44 PM ET12:13 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:44 PM ET7.51103
Projected value at 12:13 AM ET-0.420204
Actual value at 12:13 AM ET14.8588
Projected change across the window-7.93123
Actual change across the window+7.34779
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.08×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.08 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (11:56 PM ET), where they sat 7.4094 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (12:12 AM ET) with a gap of 15.842. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (12:11 AM ET), a move of +1.89265. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:45 PM-5.333086.67941+12.0125
611:50 PM-5.937954.99338+10.9313
1211:56 PM-4.667492.74191+7.4094
1812:02 AM-3.234755.94191+9.17667
2412:08 AM-2.13829.15588+11.2941
2912:13 AM-0.42020414.8588+15.279

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.