Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 8:02 PM to 8:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 18.0904. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.23213.725.17Sep 21, 8:02 PM ET8:31 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.23213.725.17Sep 21, 8:02 PM ET8:31 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:02 PM ET18.0904
Projected value at 8:31 PM ET0.692249
Actual value at 8:31 PM ET8.37794
Projected change across the window-17.3982
Actual change across the window-9.7125
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.79×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.79 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (8:29 PM ET), where they sat 3.15368 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (8:10 PM ET) with a gap of 18.7155. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (8:07 PM ET), a move of +2.85074. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:03 PM7.8990118.9456+11.0466
68:08 PM8.6894326.7059+18.0165
128:14 PM6.0281418.9735+12.9454
188:20 PM3.4374315.9125+12.4751
248:26 PM1.762699.46985+7.70717
298:31 PM0.6922498.37794+7.68569

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.