Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 6:56 PM to 7:25 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 6:56 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 21.3993. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:25 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.3499.43626.22Sep 21, 6:56 PM ET7:25 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:56 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.3499.43626.22Sep 21, 6:56 PM ET7:25 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:56 PM ET21.3993
Projected value at 7:25 PM ET-0.841601
Actual value at 7:25 PM ET-9.60368
Projected change across the window-22.2409
Actual change across the window-31.0029
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.72 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (7:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.0100739 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (7:05 PM ET) with a gap of 20.4983. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (7:09 PM ET), a move of -6.30956. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:57 PM10.960723.5103+12.5496
67:02 PM9.2936824.1706+14.8769
127:08 PM6.5812516.4257+9.84448
187:14 PM3.97296-3.37132-7.34429
247:20 PM1.355371.36544+0.0100739
297:25 PM-0.841601-9.60368-8.76208

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.