Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 6:52 PM to 7:21 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 6:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.9044. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:21 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.3499.43626.22Sep 21, 6:52 PM ET7:21 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.3499.43626.22Sep 21, 6:52 PM ET7:21 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:52 PM ET23.9044
Projected value at 7:21 PM ET0.600282
Actual value at 7:21 PM ET0.860294
Projected change across the window-23.3041
Actual change across the window-23.0441
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.01×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.01 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (7:21 PM ET), where they sat 0.260012 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (6:57 PM ET) with a gap of 23.3681. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (7:01 PM ET), a move of -6.30956. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:53 PM7.4233523.4191+15.9958
66:58 PM4.8665226.3537+21.4872
127:04 PM2.74665-0.580882-3.32754
187:10 PM1.70875-2.62206-4.33081
247:16 PM0.853481-6.95368-7.80716
297:21 PM0.6002820.860294+0.260012

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.