Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 1:55 PM to 2:24 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 1:55 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 96.5603. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:24 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.73641.1390Sep 21, 1:55 PM ET2:24 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:55 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.73641.1390Sep 21, 1:55 PM ET2:24 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:55 PM ET96.5603
Projected value at 2:24 PM ET-1.35436
Actual value at 2:24 PM ET-14.2985
Projected change across the window-97.9146
Actual change across the window-110.859
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.88×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.88 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (2:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.303969 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (2:01 PM ET) with a gap of 79.0652. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (2:13 PM ET), a move of -10.3397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:56 PM24.350792.8096+68.4589
62:01 PM16.875295.9404+79.0652
122:07 PM10.007365.0125+55.0052
182:13 PM2.1809519.7787+17.5977
242:19 PM-1.123783.20588+4.32966
292:24 PM-1.35436-14.2985-12.9442

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.