Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 1:50 PM to 2:19 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 1:50 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 92.7647. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:19 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.09540.6589.39Sep 21, 1:50 PM ET2:19 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:50 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.09540.6589.39Sep 21, 1:50 PM ET2:19 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:50 PM ET92.7647
Projected value at 2:19 PM ET-1.92584
Actual value at 2:19 PM ET-5.63529
Projected change across the window-94.6905
Actual change across the window-98.4
Bars moving the same direction25 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.96×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.96 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 86% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (2:09 PM ET), where they sat 1.04337 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (1:51 PM ET) with a gap of 72.2455. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (2:03 PM ET), a move of -10.3397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:51 PM23.694995.9404+72.2455
61:56 PM19.268969.2824+50.0134
122:02 PM11.220530.1184+18.8979
182:08 PM5.851447.60294+1.7515
242:14 PM0.173174-14.2985-14.4717
292:19 PM-1.92584-5.63529-3.70946

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.