Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 1:44 PM to 2:13 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 69.2824. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:13 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.67327.3264.31Sep 21, 1:44 PM ET2:13 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:44 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.67327.3264.31Sep 21, 1:44 PM ET2:13 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:44 PM ET69.2824
Projected value at 2:13 PM ET0.758115
Actual value at 2:13 PM ET-6.50221
Projected change across the window-68.5242
Actual change across the window-75.7846
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.90×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.90 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (1:53 PM ET), where they sat 1.34487 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:44 PM ET) with a gap of 60.6175. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (1:51 PM ET), a move of -10.3397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:45 PM11.848665.0125+53.1639
61:50 PM14.039730.1184+16.0787
121:56 PM10.97577.60294-3.37277
182:02 PM4.67585-14.2985-18.9744
242:08 PM2.25666-4.65294-6.90961
292:13 PM0.758115-6.50221-7.26032

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.