Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 1:32 PM to 2:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 1:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.60294. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.32-3.5196.286Sep 21, 1:32 PM ET2:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.32-3.5196.286Sep 21, 1:32 PM ET2:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:32 PM ET7.60294
Projected value at 2:01 PM ET-0.812641
Actual value at 2:01 PM ET-6.35221
Projected change across the window-8.41558
Actual change across the window-13.9551
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 2 (1:33 PM ET), where they sat 0.630568 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (1:39 PM ET) with a gap of 14.8121. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (1:35 PM ET), a move of -6.21544. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:33 PM2.575313.20588+0.630568
61:38 PM0.296775-14.2985-14.5953
121:44 PM-0.585173-4.65294-4.06777
181:50 PM0.243921-4.8875-5.13142
241:56 PM1.19084-3.67426-4.86511
292:01 PM-0.812641-6.35221-5.53956

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.