Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 12:46 PM to 1:15 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 12:46 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.93088. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:15 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.36-6.9784.402Sep 21, 12:46 PM ET1:15 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:46 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.36-6.9784.402Sep 21, 12:46 PM ET1:15 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:46 PM ET5.93088
Projected value at 1:15 PM ET-1.43456
Actual value at 1:15 PM ET-0.688971
Projected change across the window-7.36545
Actual change across the window-6.61985
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (12:49 PM ET), where they sat 0.367201 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (1:01 PM ET) with a gap of 12.6297. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (12:49 PM ET), a move of -4.72206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:47 PM1.068834.34559+3.27676
612:52 PM-6.72875-12.0221-5.29331
1212:58 PM-7.54657-18.0772-10.5306
181:04 PM-7.76002-18.7882-11.0282
241:10 PM-4.00134-7.10956-3.10821
291:15 PM-1.43456-0.688971+0.745594

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.