Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 12:10 PM to 12:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 18.925. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.2813.0925.89Sep 21, 12:10 PM ET12:39 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.2813.0925.89Sep 21, 12:10 PM ET12:39 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:10 PM ET18.925
Projected value at 12:39 PM ET-0.363347
Actual value at 12:39 PM ET-1.43971
Projected change across the window-19.2883
Actual change across the window-20.3647
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (12:32 PM ET), where they sat 0.019088 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (12:17 PM ET) with a gap of 13.1365. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (12:15 PM ET), a move of -3.44779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:11 PM25.147821.2228-3.92501
612:16 PM22.86969.89779-12.9718
1212:22 PM17.347115.3574-1.9898
1812:28 PM11.2213.4243+2.20422
2412:34 PM4.326084.22868-0.0974002
2912:39 PM-0.363347-1.43971-1.07636

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.