Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 12:04 PM to 12:33 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 12:04 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 9.89779. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:33 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.248.69317.63Sep 21, 12:04 PM ET12:33 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:04 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.248.69317.63Sep 21, 12:04 PM ET12:33 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:04 PM ET9.89779
Projected value at 12:33 PM ET0.39433
Actual value at 12:33 PM ET0.883824
Projected change across the window-9.50346
Actual change across the window-9.01397
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.05×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.05 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (12:23 PM ET), where they sat 0.158952 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (12:13 PM ET) with a gap of 12.7772. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (12:17 PM ET), a move of -2.82794. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:05 PM9.263768.18015-1.08361
612:10 PM8.9559915.3574+6.40137
1212:16 PM4.4197213.4243+9.00455
1812:22 PM2.860574.22868+1.36811
2412:28 PM1.49609-1.24706-2.74315
2912:33 PM0.394330.883824+0.489493

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.