Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 21, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 21, 2026, 12:00 PM to 12:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 9.32059. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.376.49817.37Sep 21, 12:00 PM ET12:29 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:00 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.376.49817.37Sep 21, 12:00 PM ET12:29 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:00 PM ET9.32059
Projected value at 12:29 PM ET-1.59182
Actual value at 12:29 PM ET-4.94265
Projected change across the window-10.9124
Actual change across the window-14.2632
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.77×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.77 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (12:27 PM ET), where they sat 0.0906771 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (12:06 PM ET) with a gap of 19.662. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (12:10 PM ET), a move of -2.82794. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:01 PM2.0273310.9375+8.91017
612:06 PM-0.98772118.6743+19.662
1212:12 PM-4.754098.25662+13.0107
1812:18 PM-5.390890.691176+6.08207
2412:24 PM-2.164311.4625+3.62681
2912:29 PM-1.59182-4.94265-3.35083

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.