Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 11:52 PM to 12:21 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 11:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 29. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:21 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.76314.7827.8Sep 16, 11:52 PM ET12:21 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.76314.7827.8Sep 16, 11:52 PM ET12:21 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:52 PM ET29
Projected value at 12:21 AM ET0.3293
Actual value at 12:21 AM ET5.57132
Projected change across the window-28.6707
Actual change across the window-23.4287
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.22×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.22 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (12:15 AM ET), where they sat 4.09305 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (12:01 AM ET) with a gap of 21.9783. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (12:04 AM ET), a move of -3.06912. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:53 PM8.4076529.5537+21.146
611:58 PM5.5325427.2779+21.7454
1212:04 AM2.4148518.1801+15.7653
1812:10 AM1.0597412.9449+11.8851
2412:16 AM0.09584685.06029+4.96445
2912:21 AM0.32935.57132+5.24202

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.