Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 11:51 PM to 12:20 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 11:51 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 29.4059. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:20 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.95514.8227.68Sep 16, 11:51 PM ET12:20 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:51 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.95514.8227.68Sep 16, 11:51 PM ET12:20 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:51 PM ET29.4059
Projected value at 12:20 AM ET0.754637
Actual value at 12:20 AM ET4.74485
Projected change across the window-28.6512
Actual change across the window-24.661
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.16×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.16 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (12:12 AM ET), where they sat 3.63506 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:51 PM ET) with a gap of 23.5854. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (12:01 AM ET), a move of -3.06912. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:52 PM7.8225727.8912+20.0686
611:57 PM6.1175126.2904+20.1729
1212:03 AM3.0180213.4831+10.4651
1812:09 AM1.313818.63309+7.31928
2412:15 AM0.2349344.98971+4.75477
2912:20 AM0.7546374.74485+3.99022

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.