Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 10:49 PM to 11:18 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 10:49 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 37.6765. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:18 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.08919.3236.55Sep 16, 10:49 PM ET11:18 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:49 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.08919.3236.55Sep 16, 10:49 PM ET11:18 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:49 PM ET37.6765
Projected value at 11:18 PM ET-0.0790589
Actual value at 11:18 PM ET0.9
Projected change across the window-37.7555
Actual change across the window-36.7765
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (11:18 PM ET), where they sat 0.979059 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (10:58 PM ET) with a gap of 30.049. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (11:15 PM ET), a move of -5.00368. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:50 PM13.420536.6993+23.2787
610:55 PM10.506638.5816+28.0751
1211:01 PM6.7183829.961+23.2427
1811:07 PM2.1779218.0779+15.9
2411:13 PM0.11554416.1426+16.0271
2911:18 PM-0.07905890.9+0.979059

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.